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Geminids Meteor Shower - December 2009 - Predictions
August 31, 2009

December 13th and 14th - Geminids Meteor Shower Predictions

The Geminids are now considered by many astronomers to be the most consistent and active annual shower.

The Geminids are known for producing up to 60 different colored meteors per hour during their peak. The peak of the shower is on December 13th and 14th, although viewing some meteors should be visible from December 6th through 19th.

This year a fairly new moon will provide a great viewing experience during the early morning hours. The radiant point for this shower will be in the constellation Gemini. Best viewing is usually to the east just after midnight.

This year's annual Geminid meteor shower is expected to be a doozie, producing up to 140 "shooting stars" per hour.

The event, which NASA has labeled the best meteor shower of 2009, has been ramping up the past few days but gets serious tonight.

Maximum activity is expected early Monday – around 12:10 a.m. EST (0510 UT). But the peak of this event encompasses several hours, astronomers say. So good viewing can be had from around 9 p.m. local time tonight through dawn Monday.

The best time? "Watch the sky during the hours around local midnight," advises NASA meteor expert Bill Cooke.

The Geminids will be visible to anyone in the Northern Hemisphere, weather permitting. People in suburbs and cities, where lights are bright, will not see fainter meteors and so will experience lower numbers.

How to watch the Geminid meteor shower

Meteor watching is easy. Just go out and look up. Telescopes and binoculars are of no use. However, some planning is in order. Seasoned skywatchers suggest:

  • Dress warmly. Very warmly.
  • Find a location away from porch lights and streetlights.
  • Bring a blanket or lounge chair so you can lie down.
  • Give your eyes 15 minutes to adjust to the darkness.
  • Scan as much of the sky as possible.

The meteors can appear anywhere in the sky, but if traced back, they'll all appear to emanate from the constellation of Gemini, hence the name of the shower. Geminds may appear in bursts, so give the show some time. If you only expect to watch for an hour or less, then around midnight local time is the best time to go out.

"Depending on how dark your location is, and how much of the sky you can see, meteors may streak into view that night at an average rate of one or two per minute," said's Skywatching Columnist Joe Rao.

Geminids Meteor shower - Bright future

Geminds are bits of debris left in space by a strange object called 3200 Phaethon. First thought to be an asteroid, 3200 Phaethon is now classified as a dead comet. Whatever its label, when it orbits the sun, it sheds debris that forms a stream, through which Earth passes each December. Most of the stuff is the size of a pea or smaller, and as these bits enter Earth's atmosphere, they vaporize, creating the streaks of light.

The Geminids have become more productive in recent years and even better shows are expected in the future. "The Geminids are strong – and getting stronger," Cooke said.

Why? Jupiter's gravity has been shifting Phaethon's debris stream more toward Earth's orbit, according to NASA. So each year we plunge deeper into the stream. Scientists aren't sure what the future holds, but leading computer models predict a continued increase.

"It is likely that Geminid activity will increase for the next few decades, perhaps getting 20 percent to 50 percent higher than current rates," said meteor researcher Peter Brown of the University of Western Ontario.


Geminids meteor shower december 2009 predictions prophecy


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